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Red239
3535153.4
4130161.6
5612144.3
Blue359
1718176.7
818137.2
503176.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173950200600800239359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#13
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
blue by 15.1
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Second
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
blue by 23.1
503
#18
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Third
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
red by 7.1
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds76%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss odds79%Face the Boss odds