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Red387
548149.1
5612144.3
3539190.6
Blue272
1718176.7
5517160.9
6861144.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360348250300400450500550387272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 13.9
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Second
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
blue by 11.8
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
Third
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
blue by 0.5
6861
#20
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss odds73%Face the Boss odds