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Red267
68159.5
5517160.9
6085128.1
Blue464
5234164.3
548149.1
1684185.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253680200600800267464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
blue by 24.8
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Second
68
#9
159.50.0
159.5159.5
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
blue by 4.8
5234
#10
164.30.0
164.3164.3
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
Third
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
blue by 21.0
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss odds48%Face the Boss odds