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Red422
5612144.3
1684185.8
4362194.3
Blue253
5712162.6
6071116.4
5517160.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419272100200500600700800422253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.30.0
194.3194.3
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
red by 31.7
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
Second
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
red by 24.8
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
Third
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
red by 27.8
6071
#19
116.40.0
116.4116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss odds26%Face the Boss odds