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Red289
2337204.5
3535153.4
5517160.9
Blue397
1188132.3
1718176.7
1684185.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3973260100200500600700800289397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
red by 18.7
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Second
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
blue by 15.8
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Third
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
red by 21.1
1188
#12
132.30.0
132.3132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest odds82%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
63%Face the Boss odds74%Face the Boss odds