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Red483
2337204.5
3539190.6
6085128.1
Blue246
1718176.7
3534173.7
6071116.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022750100200500600483246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
red by 27.8
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Second
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 16.9
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Third
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
red by 11.7
6071
#19
116.40.0
116.4116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0