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Quarterfinal 3-22018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red349
4819136.9
2054164.7
659493.9
Blue389
7211154.1
5612144.3
3535158.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308353100200400500600349389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#2
164.70.3
162.9→163.3
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
red by 5.8
3535
#15
158.90.2
159.3→159.1
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
Second
4819
#24
136.90.2
135.6→135.8
Auto16.7
Teleop104.2
End18.9
blue by 17.3
7211
#21
154.10.3
153.5→153.8
Auto15.4
Teleop115.0
End28.3
Third
6594
#28
93.90.2
92.6→92.8
Auto14.3
Teleop71.5
End10.8
blue by 50.4
5612
#7
144.30.5
143.2→143.7
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9