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Red221
3572154.7
720897.7
5257100.0
Blue372
5538121.1
659493.9
3535158.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275267150200250300350221372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#12
154.72.1
137.6139.7
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
blue by 4.2
3535
#15
158.92.8
172.9170.0
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
Second
5257
#35
100.01.5
99.598.0
Auto13.5
Teleop71.0
End17.0
blue by 21.0
5538
#17
121.10.3
112.4112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
Third
7208
#33
97.70.4
103.6103.1
Auto15.1
Teleop76.2
End2.1
red by 3.9
6594
#28
93.90.0
86.586.6
Auto14.3
Teleop71.5
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed