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Red127
7202130.3
6595103.9
3570119.4
Blue414
1506193.7
7211154.1
5622120.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323790100200300500600127414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7202
#26
130.31.2
130.4131.6
Auto17.0
Teleop97.3
End17.3
blue by 63.4
193.71.2
170.8172.1
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
Second
3570
#18
119.42.1
105.6107.7
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5
blue by 34.7
7211
#21
154.11.1
137.1138.2
Auto15.4
Teleop115.0
End28.3
Third
6595
#41
103.92.0
112.0110.0
Auto15.2
Teleop77.0
End12.1
blue by 16.9
5622
#23
120.80.1
115.1115.2
Auto16.4
Teleop93.1
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed