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Qual 212018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red246
5203107.2
5231105.8
6100158.1
Blue441
2054164.7
5623120.6
3535158.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243420100300400500246441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6100
#9
158.10.8
154.2→155.1
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
blue by 6.6
2054
#2
164.72.4
139.2→141.5
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
Second
5203
#34
107.20.9
107.3→106.3
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
blue by 51.7
3535
#15
158.92.2
170.0→167.8
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
Third
5231
#36
105.82.9
93.2→96.0
Auto15.5
Teleop79.1
End10.3
blue by 14.8
5623
#22
120.61.4
126.6→125.2
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed