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Qual 232018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red305
5538121.1
5257100.0
2959170.4
Blue441
4819136.9
5612144.3
3570119.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463260100200400500600700305441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#4
170.41.4
160.9→159.5
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
red by 26.1
5612
#7
144.31.5
139.5→138.0
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
Second
5538
#17
121.10.2
112.0→111.8
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
blue by 15.8
4819
#24
136.91.9
128.5→130.4
Auto16.7
Teleop104.2
End18.9
Third
5257
#35
100.00.8
98.0→97.2
Auto13.5
Teleop71.0
End17.0
blue by 19.4
3570
#18
119.40.2
107.7→107.5
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed