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Red179
721997.1
5982138.7
7209104.3
Blue265
5623120.6
7202130.3
573175.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193780100300500600179265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5982
#20
138.71.3
148.9147.5
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
blue by 36.9
573
#5
175.60.9
177.1178.1
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
Second
7209
#38
104.33.5
102.4105.8
Auto13.7
Teleop82.2
End10.6
blue by 26.0
7202
#26
130.30.3
131.6131.9
Auto17.0
Teleop97.3
End17.3
Third
7219
#25
97.10.9
94.495.3
Auto16.1
Teleop74.6
End8.4
blue by 23.5
5623
#22
120.60.2
125.2125.0
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed