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Qual 282018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red200
720897.7
6592117.4
5538121.1
Blue418
6595103.9
1188132.3
6077153.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322900100400500600700200418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5538
#17
121.10.4
111.8→112.2
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
blue by 32.3
6077
#3
153.40.3
123.4→123.7
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
Second
6592
#27
117.41.0
112.5→113.4
Auto19.6
Teleop84.2
End14.7
blue by 14.8
1188
#19
132.31.2
119.8→120.9
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Third
7208
#33
97.70.0
103.1→103.2
Auto15.1
Teleop76.2
End2.1
blue by 6.1
6595
#41
103.91.0
108.0→107.0
Auto15.2
Teleop77.0
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed