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Red132
7109110.5
653398.7
5982138.7
Blue231
6100158.1
5502133.0
5612144.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215365100300400500600700132231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5982
#20
138.71.4
147.5146.1
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
blue by 19.4
158.10.9
156.1157.0
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
Second
7109
#13
110.51.4
106.8108.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
blue by 33.7
144.30.9
138.0137.2
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
Third
6533
#32
98.70.9
93.294.1
Auto15.1
Teleop75.8
End7.2
blue by 34.3
5502
#16
133.04.8
122.9127.8
Auto16.1
Teleop99.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed