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Red223
3535158.9
7209104.3
5203107.2
Blue302
6077153.4
5222127.1
653398.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299259100200400500223302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#15
158.90.9
167.1166.2
Auto24.9
Teleop115.6
End16.2
red by 5.5
153.43.9
123.7127.6
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
Second
5203
#34
107.20.4
106.0106.3
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
blue by 19.9
127.11.1
117.4118.5
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
Third
7209
#38
104.31.6
107.1108.7
Auto13.7
Teleop82.2
End10.6
red by 5.6
6533
#32
98.70.4
94.194.5
Auto15.1
Teleop75.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed