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Red227
573175.6
5982138.7
5448115.5
Blue453
5257100.0
1506193.7
6538138.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333336250300350400450227453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#5
175.60.6
178.1177.5
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
blue by 18.1
193.72.2
181.6183.7
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
Second
5982
#20
138.71.1
143.5142.4
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
red by 0.1
6538
#14
138.60.2
129.4129.5
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
Third
5448
#40
115.50.2
118.6118.4
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End18.1
red by 15.4
5257
#35
100.00.2
97.897.6
Auto13.5
Teleop71.0
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed