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Qual 682018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red397
573175.6
5203107.2
74176.9
Blue235
3572154.7
5448115.5
5538121.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3852810100200500600700397235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#8
176.91.2
169.9→171.1
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
red by 22.1
3572
#12
154.71.6
149.9→151.5
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
Second
573
#5
175.60.3
176.5→176.2
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
red by 54.5
5538
#17
121.11.8
117.6→119.4
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
Third
5203
#34
107.21.0
104.7→105.7
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
blue by 8.3
5448
#40
115.50.5
117.9→117.4
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed