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Red339
7226123.4
1188132.3
721997.1
Blue196
653398.7
5203107.2
6102113.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172240100400500339196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#19
132.30.2
130.4130.7
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
red by 18.9
6102
#39
113.41.4
116.2114.9
Auto17.1
Teleop85.1
End6.2
Second
7226
#30
123.40.7
121.1121.8
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
red by 16.2
5203
#34
107.21.0
105.7106.8
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
Third
7219
#25
97.10.4
95.595.8
Auto16.1
Teleop74.6
End8.4
blue by 1.6
6533
#32
98.70.5
98.198.7
Auto15.1
Teleop75.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed