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Red261
7209104.3
1506193.7
658988.9
Blue185
5203107.2
5538121.1
721997.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342180100300400500600261185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.71.1
190.4191.5
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 72.6
5538
#17
121.10.4
120.4120.9
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
Second
7209
#38
104.30.7
103.6104.3
Auto13.7
Teleop82.2
End10.6
blue by 2.9
5203
#34
107.20.4
106.8107.2
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
Third
6589
#37
88.90.3
88.688.9
Auto13.2
Teleop68.2
End10.0
blue by 8.3
7219
#25
97.11.3
95.897.1
Auto16.1
Teleop74.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed