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Red274
5222127.1
5231105.8
5448115.5
Blue341
6092102.5
6538138.6
5982138.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258340100200300400500274341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.11.0
125.3126.3
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
blue by 11.6
5982
#20
138.70.2
138.8138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Second
5448
#40
115.51.2
116.6115.5
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End18.1
blue by 23.1
6538
#14
138.61.8
133.3135.1
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
Third
5231
#36
105.81.0
106.7105.8
Auto15.5
Teleop79.1
End10.3
red by 3.3
6092
#31
102.50.1
102.6102.5
Auto16.1
Teleop78.3
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed