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Red635
4819136.9
2054164.7
659493.9
Blue281
74176.9
6077153.4
6538138.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269394100200300500600700635281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.70.3
164.0164.3
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
blue by 12.2
74
#8
176.90.5
175.3175.8
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
Second
4819
#24
136.90.2
136.4136.6
Auto16.7
Teleop104.2
End18.9
blue by 16.5
153.40.4
152.0152.4
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
Third
6594
#28
93.90.2
93.493.6
Auto14.3
Teleop71.5
End10.8
blue by 44.7
6538
#14
138.60.5
136.8137.3
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6