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Red439
3452165.3
2767202.7
6615121.7
Blue259
3620155.4
2474180.9
5927123.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387306100200500600439259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.70.8
201.1201.9
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 21.9
180.90.4
180.1180.5
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
Second
165.30.0
165.2165.2
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
red by 9.9
3620
#11
155.40.6
154.3154.9
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
Third
6615
#29
121.70.0
121.7121.7
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
blue by 1.8
5927
#37
123.50.4
124.3123.9
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2