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Red279
3620155.4
2474180.9
5927123.5
Blue425
470120.4
4409144.3
5980138.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355288100200400500600279425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.90.4
178.3178.8
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
red by 36.6
144.30.2
143.5143.7
Auto15.1
Teleop114.4
End16.0
Second
3620
#11
155.40.7
151.2151.9
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
red by 17.4
5980
#22
138.00.6
136.0136.6
Auto18.4
Teleop103.3
End20.5
Third
5927
#37
123.50.6
126.9126.3
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
red by 3.2
470
#13
120.40.1
119.9120.0
Auto15.0
Teleop94.1
End10.5