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Qual 242018 FIM District St. Joseph Event
Red308
5227116.3
2337172.2
5182126.5
Blue323
6128105.0
3546161.2
5152150.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309294100200400500308323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#4
172.28.7
136.6→145.2
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
red by 10.9
3546
#6
161.24.7
131.6→136.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
Second
5182
#27
126.55.5
105.1→110.6
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
blue by 24.1
5152
#10
150.77.2
119.6→126.8
Auto20.1
Teleop110.3
End23.4
Third
5227
#33
116.32.6
103.0→105.5
Auto13.2
Teleop91.3
End11.6
red by 11.3
6128
#30
105.03.6
95.7→99.3
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed