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Red601
85182.3
5182126.5
3452165.3
Blue179
6568120.5
5204119.7
5927123.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390235100200300500600601179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#5
182.38.7
154.6163.3
Auto24.1
Teleop130.8
End25.9
red by 58.8
5927
#37
123.54.8
124.2129.0
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
Second
165.35.2
148.5153.7
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
red by 44.8
6568
#32
120.53.8
107.4111.2
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
Third
5182
#27
126.54.3
110.6114.9
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
red by 6.8
5204
#18
119.72.3
122.0124.3
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed