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Red205
4988126.1
2337172.2
613799.6
Blue348
3658119.1
244142.0
4237149.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328280100200400500600205348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.26.4
145.2151.7
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
red by 23.0
4237
#12
149.25.5
128.0133.5
Auto17.8
Teleop116.2
End14.0
Second
4988
#20
126.14.1
120.5124.6
Auto16.0
Teleop97.2
End12.9
blue by 15.9
244
#17
142.04.5
124.5129.0
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
Third
6137
#38
99.64.8
96.1100.9
Auto14.9
Teleop75.9
End11.3
blue by 19.5
3658
#21
119.14.1
104.3108.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed