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Qual 322018 FIM District St. Joseph Event
Red188
6615121.7
470120.4
5110127.4
Blue428
5501159.6
2767202.7
6128105.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273349100200300400500600188428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#34
127.43.6
117.6→121.2
Auto16.9
Teleop99.0
End7.6
blue by 75.3
2767
#1
202.78.7
158.6→167.3
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
Second
6615
#29
121.73.7
118.4→122.1
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
blue by 37.8
5501
#3
159.64.4
125.5→129.9
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
Third
470
#13
120.41.0
121.2→120.1
Auto15.0
Teleop94.1
End10.5
red by 15.4
6128
#30
105.03.2
99.3→102.6
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed