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Red112
1940118.4
5610106.5
6128105.0
Blue362
5676128.4
5069126.0
6615121.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543140100200400500600112362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1940
#31
118.44.1
121.4125.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End14.2
blue by 10.0
5676
#14
128.41.0
114.6115.6
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
Second
5610
#28
106.52.4
107.5105.1
Auto17.2
Teleop80.0
End12.6
blue by 19.5
5069
#16
126.02.7
119.0121.7
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
Third
6128
#30
105.03.2
102.6105.7
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
blue by 16.7
6615
#29
121.71.5
122.1123.6
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed