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Red416
3546161.2
1254120.0
2767202.7
Blue289
5152150.7
3452165.3
7210104.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368288100200400500600416289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
202.73.9
178.8182.7
Auto25.1
Teleop142.1
End38.7
red by 37.4
165.30.4
162.4162.0
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
Second
161.22.6
146.6149.1
Auto22.0
Teleop121.9
End15.2
red by 10.6
5152
#10
150.72.4
142.4144.8
Auto20.1
Teleop110.3
End23.4
Third
1254
#19
120.02.3
108.9111.1
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End15.8
red by 16.0
7210
#35
104.02.0
104.8102.8
Auto13.8
Teleop76.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed