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Red296
5182126.5
5110127.4
2611136.3
Blue361
2337172.2
5069126.0
5610106.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793240100200400500600700296361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#25
136.30.6
134.5133.8
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
blue by 35.9
172.24.0
157.2161.2
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
Second
5110
#34
127.41.5
125.0126.5
Auto16.9
Teleop99.0
End7.6
red by 1.5
5069
#16
126.02.6
125.2127.8
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
Third
5182
#27
126.50.6
120.2120.8
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
red by 20.1
5610
#28
106.50.0
101.3101.3
Auto17.2
Teleop80.0
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed