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Red278
6128105.0
2474180.9
1254120.0
Blue260
3658119.1
5056114.4
4409144.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323276100200300400500278260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.94.1
167.9172.0
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
red by 36.6
144.32.1
139.7141.8
Auto15.1
Teleop114.4
End16.0
Second
1254
#19
120.03.5
111.1114.6
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End15.8
red by 0.9
3658
#21
119.10.9
115.4116.3
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
Third
6128
#30
105.00.2
102.7102.9
Auto14.3
Teleop80.1
End9.8
blue by 9.4
5056
#26
114.41.7
120.1118.4
Auto16.8
Teleop83.5
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed