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Red409
3452165.3
244142.0
3620155.4
Blue210
5152150.7
1940118.4
2611136.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373281100200400500409210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.30.8
162.0162.8
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
red by 14.6
5152
#10
150.72.6
144.8147.4
Auto20.1
Teleop110.3
End23.4
Second
3620
#11
155.41.3
143.0144.3
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
red by 19.1
2611
#25
136.31.0
133.8134.8
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
Third
244
#17
142.01.3
137.8139.1
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
red by 23.6
1940
#31
118.42.3
124.7122.3
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed