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Red293
2337172.2
6615121.7
5204119.7
Blue321
5227116.3
3452165.3
3658119.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338270100200300400500600293321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.23.2
164.7168.0
Auto27.5
Teleop126.4
End15.3
red by 6.9
165.30.8
162.8163.6
Auto18.3
Teleop124.8
End22.5
Second
6615
#29
121.70.9
125.4124.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
red by 2.6
3658
#21
119.10.3
116.3116.6
Auto16.1
Teleop90.9
End14.2
Third
5204
#18
119.70.8
119.5120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
red by 3.4
5227
#33
116.30.3
115.0115.2
Auto13.2
Teleop91.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed