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Red425
5152150.7
4237149.2
2474180.9
Blue208
6615121.7
5927123.5
5501159.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082790100200400500600425208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.912.9
103.4116.3
Auto25.8
Teleop133.5
End20.8
red by 21.3
159.67.8
107.6115.5
Auto18.1
Teleop116.7
End26.9
Second
5152
#10
150.715.3
81.196.4
Auto20.1
Teleop110.3
End23.4
red by 27.1
5927
#37
123.514.6
86.9101.5
Auto14.1
Teleop92.0
End17.2
Third
4237
#12
149.27.1
107.3114.4
Auto17.8
Teleop116.2
End14.0
red by 27.5
6615
#29
121.715.5
78.894.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed