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Red349
5182126.5
244142.0
5535146.3
Blue288
7210104.0
85182.3
6615121.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325318200250300350400450349288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.31.7
142.4144.0
Auto17.8
Teleop110.2
End20.5
blue by 36.1
85
#5
182.30.5
182.0182.5
Auto24.1
Teleop130.8
End25.9
Second
244
#17
142.00.4
140.2140.6
Auto16.4
Teleop105.8
End20.1
red by 20.3
6615
#29
121.71.1
124.4123.3
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
Third
5182
#27
126.50.6
124.8125.4
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
red by 22.5
7210
#35
104.00.4
103.6104.0
Auto13.8
Teleop76.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed