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Red307
3620155.4
5182126.5
5069126.0
Blue274
2611136.3
4325144.1
2959162.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320355150200250300400450500307274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#11
155.43.5
147.7151.2
Auto21.3
Teleop121.7
End12.2
blue by 6.8
2959
#24
162.10.0
162.5162.4
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End30.8
Second
5182
#27
126.51.0
125.4126.4
Auto19.2
Teleop93.7
End11.1
blue by 17.5
4325
#15
144.13.0
138.8141.8
Auto14.1
Teleop110.8
End19.7
Third
5069
#16
126.01.1
128.3127.2
Auto17.9
Teleop89.9
End16.8
blue by 10.3
2611
#25
136.31.0
134.7135.6
Auto17.2
Teleop102.3
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed