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Red209
6568120.5
6615121.7
216111.1
Blue425
5676128.4
5152150.7
5204119.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253316100200400500209425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6615
#29
121.71.0
123.3122.3
Auto16.5
Teleop95.1
End10.0
blue by 29.0
5152
#10
150.70.5
148.5149.0
Auto20.1
Teleop110.3
End23.4
Second
6568
#32
120.50.6
121.1120.5
Auto17.7
Teleop89.0
End12.9
blue by 7.9
5676
#14
128.40.2
127.7127.5
Auto16.6
Teleop91.3
End22.3
Third
216
#36
111.11.0
113.2112.1
Auto14.5
Teleop94.1
End-0.9
blue by 8.6
5204
#18
119.70.6
120.3119.7
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned