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Red317
1701150.1
5531161.7
835112.6
Blue233
3547139.6
5436158.4
4768125.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321287150200250350400450500550317233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.70.6
160.1160.7
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
red by 3.3
158.40.4
158.1158.4
Auto18.8
Teleop121.9
End20.9
Second
1701
#11
150.10.4
149.1149.5
Auto17.9
Teleop107.7
End26.7
red by 10.5
3547
#10
139.60.3
139.3139.6
Auto16.0
Teleop110.9
End12.5
Third
835
#20
112.60.4
111.3111.8
Auto13.1
Teleop92.5
End7.0
blue by 13.4
4768
#23
125.90.1
125.9125.9
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4