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Red318
4680140.9
67169.9
721899.5
Blue292
5167126.9
5901121.3
5065119.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331244100200300400500318292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#5
169.90.3
167.5167.7
Auto23.1
Teleop116.5
End33.8
red by 43.0
5167
#13
126.90.2
126.6126.7
Auto12.1
Teleop99.7
End14.5
Second
140.90.4
137.4137.9
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
red by 19.5
121.30.2
121.6121.5
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
Third
7218
#39
99.50.0
98.598.6
Auto13.7
Teleop80.8
End7.1
blue by 19.7
5065
#19
119.20.2
119.5119.3
Auto11.3
Teleop94.2
End12.7