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Red50
4768125.9
721899.5
7232106.6
Blue165
686284.3
5217113.2
5531161.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244292010020040050060070080050165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#23
125.917.3
62.780.0
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4
blue by 35.7
161.715.5
79.394.8
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
Second
7232
#31
106.634.7
112.477.7
Auto13.8
Teleop81.8
End13.6
blue by 6.6
5217
#22DQ
113.215.6
78.594.1
Auto12.0
Teleop94.0
End5.1
Third
7218
#39
99.529.7
107.477.7
Auto13.7
Teleop80.8
End7.1
red by 15.2
6862
#36
84.310.3
88.077.7
Auto12.2
Teleop71.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed