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Red30
564294.7
33184.0
519794.0
Blue294
5436158.4
4680140.9
5901121.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263303010020040050060070030294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
184.06.0
141.7147.7
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End25.9
red by 25.6
158.411.3
108.4119.8
Auto18.8
Teleop121.9
End20.9
Second
5642
#37
94.713.0
78.491.4
Auto13.4
Teleop74.0
End5.0
blue by 46.2
140.99.2
101.2110.4
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
Third
5197
#40
94.08.3
76.484.7
Auto10.7
Teleop79.2
End8.0
blue by 27.4
121.38.8
87.996.7
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed