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Red100
5167126.9
3302113.8
5217113.2
Blue388
835112.6
67169.9
5901121.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262282100150200300350400450100388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#13
126.94.8
114.3119.1
Auto12.1
Teleop99.7
End14.5
blue by 43.0
67
#5
169.91.0
145.6146.7
Auto23.1
Teleop116.5
End33.8
Second
3302
#24
113.85.5
101.3106.8
Auto14.0
Teleop89.3
End11.2
blue by 7.6
121.37.0
102.3109.3
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
Third
5217
#22
113.22.9
109.9112.8
Auto12.0
Teleop94.0
End5.1
red by 0.7
835
#20
112.62.3
98.6100.9
Auto13.1
Teleop92.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned