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Red47
564294.7
5901121.3
6567103.9
Blue230
4768125.9
4838114.8
835112.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412515010015020030035047230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.38.3
109.3117.7
Auto17.4
Teleop90.2
End13.7
blue by 4.6
4768
#23
125.96.2
101.5107.7
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4
Second
6567
#27
103.90.5
93.894.3
Auto14.3
Teleop84.1
End6.5
blue by 10.9
4838
#16
114.83.6
102.3105.9
Auto14.1
Teleop86.0
End16.0
Third
5642
#37
94.72.5
100.0102.5
Auto13.4
Teleop74.0
End5.0
blue by 17.9
835
#20
112.65.1
100.9106.0
Auto13.1
Teleop92.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed