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Red158
5065119.2
5467135.8
3302113.8
Blue261
519794.0
3547139.6
6742119.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392740100200300400500158261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5467
#18
135.85.9
100.6106.5
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
blue by 3.8
3547
#10
139.64.8
125.3130.1
Auto16.0
Teleop110.9
End12.5
Second
5065
#19
119.24.7
99.2103.9
Auto11.3
Teleop94.2
End12.7
blue by 0.7
6742
#14
119.96.0
105.7111.7
Auto14.4
Teleop96.0
End11.2
Third
3302
#24
113.81.6
106.8108.4
Auto14.0
Teleop89.3
End11.2
red by 19.8
5197
#40
94.03.9
88.692.6
Auto10.7
Teleop79.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed