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Red196
1481139.5
6136102.8
1701150.1
Blue318
485497.0
5843162.3
721899.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422040100300400500600196318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#11
150.16.6
137.3143.9
Auto17.9
Teleop107.7
End26.7
blue by 12.2
162.37.3
135.6142.9
Auto23.3
Teleop122.7
End15.5
Second
1481
#15
139.54.0
136.1140.1
Auto15.5
Teleop110.8
End13.7
red by 40.0
7218
#39
99.52.4
95.593.1
Auto13.7
Teleop80.8
End7.1
Third
6136
#32
102.85.5
96.3101.8
Auto14.1
Teleop79.5
End8.7
red by 5.7
4854
#26
97.02.7
87.590.2
Auto13.9
Teleop78.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed