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Red398
5436158.4
5531161.7
5167126.9
Blue165
5467135.8
6567103.9
615090.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3831360100200300500600398165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.74.3
141.2145.4
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
red by 25.9
5467
#18
135.84.7
115.2119.9
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
Second
158.42.9
145.6148.5
Auto18.8
Teleop121.9
End20.9
red by 54.5
6567
#27
103.93.5
92.295.8
Auto14.3
Teleop84.1
End6.5
Third
5167
#13
126.90.1
121.9121.8
Auto12.1
Teleop99.7
End14.5
red by 36.3
6150
#38
90.63.1
91.888.6
Auto14.9
Teleop70.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed