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Red280
1701150.1
6742119.9
6567103.9
Blue195
4680140.9
1502118.3
5619108.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258269100150200300350400450280195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#11
150.10.6
145.5144.9
Auto17.9
Teleop107.7
End26.7
red by 9.3
140.91.4
135.6137.0
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
Second
6742
#14
119.90.4
118.1117.7
Auto14.4
Teleop96.0
End11.2
red by 1.6
1502
#21
118.31.3
116.6117.9
Auto15.3
Teleop92.5
End13.2
Third
6567
#27
103.93.1
95.898.9
Auto14.3
Teleop84.1
End6.5
blue by 4.8
5619
#25
108.70.5
111.5112.0
Auto16.4
Teleop80.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed