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Red255
721899.5
5167126.9
5467135.8
Blue275
5843162.3
564294.7
686284.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802170100400500255275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5467
#18
135.83.8
123.7127.6
Auto16.0
Teleop103.2
End16.4
blue by 26.5
162.30.6
157.3157.9
Auto23.3
Teleop122.7
End15.5
Second
5167
#13
126.91.1
123.1124.2
Auto12.1
Teleop99.7
End14.5
red by 32.2
5642
#37
94.70.7
95.594.8
Auto13.4
Teleop74.0
End5.0
Third
7218
#39
99.51.5
94.996.3
Auto13.7
Teleop80.8
End7.1
red by 15.2
6862
#36
84.30.3
83.083.3
Auto12.2
Teleop71.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed