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Red394
5843162.3
33184.0
94129.2
Blue107
519794.0
4768125.9
719698.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4151510100200300500600700394107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
184.04.2
171.7175.9
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End25.9
red by 58.0
4768
#23
125.90.5
124.7125.3
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End19.4
Second
162.31.1
157.9158.9
Auto23.3
Teleop122.7
End15.5
red by 63.6
7196
#28
98.71.5
96.097.5
Auto13.2
Teleop79.9
End6.0
Third
94
#12
129.20.9
126.8127.7
Auto16.0
Teleop93.7
End20.9
red by 35.3
5197
#40
94.00.8
92.493.3
Auto10.7
Teleop79.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed