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Red369
4737133.2
67169.9
4680140.9
Blue268
4758106.3
5531161.7
94129.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368265100200300400500600369268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#5
169.90.4
167.1167.5
Auto23.1
Teleop116.5
End33.8
red by 8.2
161.72.4
157.2159.6
Auto15.7
Teleop124.1
End23.3
Second
140.91.2
136.3137.4
Auto16.3
Teleop113.2
End14.6
red by 11.6
94
#12
129.21.3
127.7129.0
Auto16.0
Teleop93.7
End20.9
Third
4737
#17
133.21.1
131.5132.6
Auto13.3
Teleop104.1
End16.8
red by 27.0
4758
#34
106.30.1
105.8105.9
Auto16.1
Teleop82.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed